IDOL Mumbai University important questions bank
M.com Part 1 (Sem. 2)
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY FOR BUSINESS
Q.6. How to formulate research hypotheses?
ANS:
Meaning
Hypothesis is an assumption made by the researcher to
explain certain fact or provide basis for further investigation. It states what
the researcher thinks the outcome of the study will be. The researcher makes hypothesis
and collects data that either support the hypothesis or do not support it. So
the hypothesis may be proved to be correct or incorrect. Hypotheses are
essential to all research studies with the possible exception of some
descriptive studies whose purpose is to answer certain specific questions.
Example - A manager
may hypothesize that salespersons who show the highest job satisfaction will be
the most productive salespersons. Another example, organizational researcher
may believe that if workers’ attitudes toward an organizational climate are
changed in a positive direction, there will be an increase in organizational
effectiveness among these workers.
Definition
Webster’s Dictionary defines hypothesis as “an
unproved theory, proposition, supposition etc. tentatively accepted to explain
certain facts or to provide a basis for further investigation, argument, etc.”
Formulation of Hypothesis
1) Identification of Research Problem and its
causes:
The researcher must identify the research problem
which needs to be investigated. Also he/she needs to identify cause of such
problem. Eg. The research problem could be “Decline in Sales of Lux soap in
Mumbai Region”. The possible causes of such decline in sales could be:
·
Poor quality of the products
·
Higher price of the product
·
Ineffective promotion-mix
·
Faulty distribution network
2) Formulate the Hypotheses:
The researcher may undertake extensive Review of
Literature (ROL) or discuss with expert or by his/her own experience formulates
the hypothesis. Eg. Hypotheses relating to the above problem can be formulated
as:
·
Sales are declining on account of
poor quality of the products
·
Sales are declining on account of
higher price of the product
·
Sales are declining on account of
ineffective promotion-mix
·
Sales are declining on account of
Faulty distribution network
3) Pilot Test the Hypotheses:
The researcher may conduct pilot study to test the
hypothesis. Small sample respondents are selected and data is collected from
them to conduct the pilot study. All the hypotheses are put to test. The pilot
study may indicate the most probable cause of the problem. This may help to
select the best hypothesis for the purpose of detailed investigation. Suppose
the pilot study states that most probable cause of problem is poor quality of
the product.
4) Select the Best Hypothesis:
After selecting the best hypothesis on the basis of
pilot study, the researcher proceeds for investigation of the problem and find
out the validity of the hypothesis. The researcher may specify the null
hypothesis and alternative hypothesis.
·
Null Hypothesis: It states that there
is no relationship between two or more variables. A researcher hopes to reject
or disprove the null hypothesis. Eg. There is no relationship between poor
quality of product and decline in sales.
·
Alternative Hypothesis: It states
there is relationship between two or more variables. Eg. There is relationship
between poor quality of product and decline in sales.
5) Conduct the Research: After
formulating the final hypothesis, the researcher proceeds to conduct the
research. He/she may prepare research design to conduct research in right
direction. The researcher collects data and analyse the same to draw
conclusion. He may use Ttest, Z-test, Chi-Square, ANOVA, Correlation etc. tests
for the purpose for testing hypothesis.
6) Acceptance or Rejection of Hypothesis:
After testing the hypothesis, the researcher may
reject the null hypothesis or the researcher may fail to reject the null
hypothesis. Generally, when the researcher rejects the null hypothesis, the
researcher may accept the alternative hypothesis. At times, the alternative
hypothesis may also be rejected.
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